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US Election 2024

US election updates: Trump says MSG rally ‘lovefest’; polls show Harris tie

These were the updates on the 2024 US election campaign for Tuesday, October 29.

Democratic presidential nominee U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris
Video Duration 00 minutes 52 seconds play-arrow00:52

Biden casts early vote, presses for Gaza truce

By Alice Speri
Published On 29 Oct 202429 Oct 2024

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  • With seven days remaining until the US presidential election, both main candidates, their running mates and their surrogates are scrambling to make their closing arguments to voters.
  • Republican Donald Trump calls his New York’s Madison Square Garden rally, which has sparked massive backlash after speakers there made a series of racist, insulting comments, a “lovefest”.
  • Democrat Kamala Harris will hold a rally on the National Mall this evening in Washington, DC.
  • Polls show a close race that has only gotten tighter with Harris in the lead nationally by 1.4 percentage points, according to FiveThirtyEight’s poll tracker.
  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 20:49
     (20:49 GMT)

    This live page is closed…

    But the coverage continues here.

  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 20:42
     (20:42 GMT)

    Let’s bring you up to speed with today’s developments

    We’ll be closing this live page soon, but our coverage will continue on a separate page, so stay tuned.

    In the meantime, here are some of today’s main developments:

    • Crowds have begun gathering in Washington, DC, for Kamala Harris’s “closing argument” rally.
    • Controversy continues over comedian Tony Hinchcliffe’s comments at Donald Trump’s New York rally on Sunday comparing Puerto Rico to “a floating island of garbage”.
    • Puerto Rican rapper Bad Bunny and Archbishop of San Juan Roberto Octavio Gonzalez Nieves have denounced the comedian’s comments today, with the latter saying Trump needs to issue a formal apology.
    • The Republican presidential candidate, however, says the rally at Madison Square Garden was a “lovefest“.
    • Harris has received yet another endorsement from a figure traditionally associated with Republican politics, with Barbara Pierce Bush, daughter of former Republican President George W Bush, telling People magazine that she spent the weekend campaigning for the Democratic presidential candidate.
  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 20:30
     (20:30 GMT)

    Puerto Rico’s largest newspaper endorses Harris

    El Nuevo Dia has endorsed the Democratic candidate as backlash continues against a racist joke about the island by a speaker at Trump’s New York rally.

    Puerto Rico’s largest newspaper explained its decision in an editorial that slammed the Republican candidate.

    “One week before the election, Trump’s erratic and narcissistic behaviors reveal a lack of balance and ability to build agreements and solutions to the serious problems facing the United States, its territories, and the broad group of its allied countries,” Maria Luisa Ferre Rangel, the editor, wrote.

    “Trump suffers from psychopathic elements that he evidences by lying repeatedly,” she said. “He has no moral compass and believes that the rules do not apply to him.

    “Puerto Ricans should vote for Kamala Harris.”

    Kamala Harris
    Harris unveiled her plan for Puerto Rico a few days ago, pledging to bolster healthcare and energy infrastructure [Susan Walsh/AP Photo]
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  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 20:20
     (20:20 GMT)
    Explainer

    A deeper dive into the Electoral College

    By Cyril Garnier

    In most democracies, elections are pretty simple. Voters vote, and the candidate with the most votes wins or the party with the most votes wins and appoints its leader to govern. But that is not how it works in the US.

    Instead of voting directly for a president, Americans pick their leader through what’s known as the Electoral College.

    Here’s how it goes: There are 538 electors, or Electoral College voters, representing all 50 US states plus Washington, DC. These are people appointed by political parties.

    To win the presidency, a candidate needs 270 electoral votes – that is the key number.

    So what Americans are really voting for is their state electors, the group of people who will vote for the president on their behalf. States have electors based on their populations. Take a big state like California – this year, it has 54 votes in the Electoral College. Meanwhile, Texas has 40, and small states like Wyoming and Vermont have just three votes each.

    Most states have a winner-take-all policy where electors are chosen based on who wins the popular vote. Take Texas, for example – a huge state with a big population. In 2020, 5.8 million people voted for Donald Trump and 5.2 million for Joe Biden. But because Texas is winner-takes-all, those millions of votes for Biden didn’t matter – Trump won all 38 Electoral College votes.

    One other thing to note: Every state has to have at least three electoral votes regardless of population size. This means that small states are hugely overrepresented in the Electoral College. For example, Wyoming has one elector for roughly every 142,000 voters, and Texas has one for around 466,000.

    All this means that throughout history, on five occasions candidates who didn’t win the popular vote have actually ended up carrying the presidency. That includes, famously, George Bush in the 2000 presidential election, who got fewer votes than his rival Al Gore; and more recently, Donald Trump in 2016, who became president with fewer votes than Hillary Clinton.

    In every close election, the presidency boils down to just a handful of states. Around the country, there are around 244 million people eligible to vote. Yet it is seven swing states or only about 18 percent of the total population that ultimately decide the winner.

    The system of state-by-state, winner-take-all contests where a candidate can win the popular vote but still lose the election is deeply unpopular. More than six out of 10 Americans want to see a president who wins the most national votes.

    But that would require changing the US constitution – which is hard to do, and unlikely to happen anytime soon.

  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 20:10
     (20:10 GMT)

    Why is the Electoral College so odd?

    The US Electoral College goes back to the country’s early days.

    “What we have to realise is that the entire US Constitution is a series of compromises”, Lara Brown, professor at George Washington University’s Graduate School of Political Management, told Al Jazeera. “They eventually landed on a compromise that looked to balance populous states with small states.”

    “What this means is that individuals – their votes are important through their state, [but] not nationally,” she said.

    The exact number of votes each state gets is based on a census every 10 years, but the system continues to favour small states.

    “It creates an odd situation in which small states like Wyoming, for example, have a per capita higher representation than Texas,” said Robinson Woodward-Burns, an associate professor with Howard University’s Department of Political Science.

    “The Electoral College also creates other kinds of dysfunctions,” he added. “States that have higher Electoral College votes like Pennsylvania and that are narrowly divided, are swing states in which candidates spend a disproportionate amount of time in, and this sort of creates these sort of hyperlocal politics.”

  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 20:00
     (20:00 GMT)

    All eyes on a swing county of a swing state

    Two hours away from Detroit, Saginaw County is a highly contested area in central Michigan.

    Experts say whoever wins the election in this so-called “swing county” could help determine who will win the battleground state in next week’s elections.

    This is a swing county in the swing state of Michigan,” said Al Jazeera’s Teresa Bo, reporting from Saginaw. “The majority of the population voted for Barack Obama twice, then for Donald Trump in 2016 and in 2020 for Joe Biden. However, when you talk to people here, there is lots of concern that this election could end up in violence and unrest.”

    Both Harris and Trump have in recent weeks intensified their campaigning in Michigan, where there are 15 electoral votes up for grabs.

    “When I hear the Republicans saying that we’re going to change the Constitution, we’re going to take away your right to make decisions, we’re going to take away your right to be educated, I remember, I remember those very same rights being fought for,” Bishop Hurley Coleman told Al Jazeera.

    “The phrase ‘Make America Great Again’ is frightening because it depends on what your great period was,” he said, referring to Trump’s slogan.

    At a pumpkin farm just outside the city, people said they were concerned about the economy and the loss of jobs in past decades. Many said they supported Trump, repeating unfounded claims that the 2020 election was rigged.

    “It’s going to be chaos – and I hope that it doesn’t happen,” local machinist Tom Rupprecht told Al Jazeera. “I don’t trust the government whatsoever because they tell you one thing and then they do what they want.”

    Professor Brady Baybeck said there has been “a lot of damage done to the system in the last four to 10 years”.

    “People don’t trust it,” he said. “I work in elections and I can tell you, in Michigan at least, it’s absolutely impossible for anybody to systematically rig an election.”

  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 19:50
     (19:50 GMT)

    Massive line snakes near White House ahead of Harris rally

    By Joseph Stepansky

    Reporting from Washington, DC

    About 20,000 attendees were initially expected for Harris’s “closing arguments” speech at Washington, DC’s Ellipse.

    That number has since been updated to 40,000, with DC Metro police projecting it could be as many as 52,000.

    The line is currently circling the Ellipse, located near the Washington Monument, moving up 15th Street and into Lafayette Park in front of the White House.

    “At least it will be a big crowd,” one person waiting in line told Al Jazeera.

    People wait outside Kamala Harris' Washington, DC speech. [Joseph Stepansky/Al Jazeera]
    People wait outside before Kamala Harris’s Washington, DC speech [Joseph Stepansky/Al Jazeera]
  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 19:40
     (19:40 GMT)

    In case you’re just joining us…

    Here’s a recap of the latest developments:

    • Controversy continues over comments made by a stand-up comedian at Republican Donald Trump’s New York City campaign rally comparing Puerto Rico to a floating island of garbage.
    • Rapper Bad Bunny and Archbishop of San Juan Roberto Octavio Gonzalez Nieves have denounced the comments today, with the latter saying Trump needs to issue a formal apology.
    • Trump, however, says the rally at Madison Square Garden was a “lovefest“.
    • National polls show a virtual tie between Democrat Kamala Harris and Trump, with Harris leading by 1.4 points according to FiveThirtyEight’s poll tracker.
    • However, a new Rasmussen poll shows 51 percent of Americans have an “unfavourable” view of Harris.
    • Trump is in Pennsylvania today for campaign events, and Harris is gearing up for her last major speech of the campaign in Washington, DC.
    • Harris has received yet another endorsement from a figure traditionally associated with Republican politics, with Barbara Pierce Bush, daughter of former Republican President George W Bush, telling People magazine that she spent the weekend campaigning for the Democrat.
  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 19:30
     (19:30 GMT)

    Indicted New York City mayor avoids questions about Trump

    Eric Adams, who is facing federal charges of accepting bribes and illegal campaign contributions, has deflected questions about his relationship with Trump as he declined to say whether he would oppose the Republican candidate’s plan to carry out the largest mass deportation programme in US history, dismissing the proposal as a “hypothetical”.

    The mayor of New York repeatedly responded to journalists inquiries about his feeling towards Trump during a news briefing with, “Next question.”

    He declined to say when he last spoke to Trump, if he was seeking a pardon from him or whether he disagreed with any of Trump’s statements at the Madison Square Garden rally.

    Asked specifically if he opposed Trump’s plan for historic mass deportations, Adams voiced his support for New York as a sanctuary city, but said he would not be “entertaining any hypotheticals”.

    Adams, a centrist Democrat, has shown a growing reluctance to criticise Trump in recent weeks, breaking with party leaders on the question of whether the former president is a fascist. That support has fuelled speculation that Adams, is seeking to align himself with Trump. If he were to win the presidency, Trump could halt the corruption case against him.

    Eric Adams
    New York City Mayor Eric Adams [File: Brendan McDermid/Reuters]
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  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 19:25
     (19:25 GMT)

    ‘A vote for Stein is a vote essentially for Trump’

    Al Jazeera has spoken to Clyde Wilcox, a Georgetown University professor, about the challenges faced by Democrats in Michigan and whether the Harris campaign has done enough to change perceptions in the swing state.

    Here’s what he said:

    “The protest against the Biden-Harris administration is very understandable, I think, among Muslims and Arab voters, but Republicans are pouring money into this vote for the Jill Stein campaign.

    “But I think the 2000 [election] is an interesting way to look at the protest vote because at the time, Ralph Nader was running as a Green Party candidate protesting that Al Gore was not being green enough in the campaign.

    “And so, Nader ended up with 97,000 votes in Florida and Bush won by 540 – and his was most certainly not a green administration, right?

    “So basically, a vote for Stein is a vote essentially for Trump; Netanyahu prefers Trump, Trump will have the Arab ban, the Muslim ban again, he’s talked about deporting pro-Palestinian protesters, so I do understand the anger truly, but I think that a protest vote here probably is a backfiring vote.”

    According to the Arab American Institute, a think tank, Michigan is home to nearly 400,000 Arab Americans, making four percent of the state’s population. The group calculates the number of Arab Americans based on Census data, adjusted to undercounting because the survey does not have a specific box for Arabs.

  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 19:18
     (19:18 GMT)

    Hundreds of Miami-Dade County ballots found on the side of the road

    The elections department in Florida’s largest county has confirmed that a sealed bin and a sealed bag were found by a driver and the ballots inside had already been scanned and tabulated at an early voting site yesterday, the Miami Herald reports.

    A county employee forgot to lock the back of a truck and the containers fell out when they drove off, according to county elections supervisor Christina White, who said election workers confirmed nothing was damaged or tampered with.

    A video posted by the popular South Florida social media account Only in Dade shows a passing driver apparently stopping to pick up the containers labelled with county barcodes and drive them to a police station.

    The employee driving the truck has since been fired.

  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 19:00
     (19:00 GMT)

    Who is leading the national polls?

     

  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 18:50
     (18:50 GMT)
    Analysis

    ‘That’s just how knife-edge of an election this is’

    Al Jazeera has asked Thomas Gift, director of the Center on US Politics in University College London, about what he thinks would decide the upcoming vote.

    Here’s what he had to say:

    “The first thing I would say is that I think there is a small and vanishing number of swing voters. So, in large part, I think both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are trying to ensure that their bases turn out.

    “Of course, that needs to be true the most in these critical swing states including Pennsylvania, including Michigan, including Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, and the list goes on.

    “I’m really looking at Pennsylvania – some recent forecasting showed that if Donald Trump can win Pennsylvania, his odds of winning the White House go up to 96 percent; if Kamala Harris wins Pennsylvania, her odds of winning the White House go up to 91 percent.

    “So that’s just how knife-edge of an election this is.”

  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 18:40
     (18:40 GMT)

    Photos: Anticipation builds up before Harris’s primetime speech

    People gather prior to Democratic presidential nominee U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris' speech on the National Mall in Washington
    A street vendor shows off campaign buttons prior to the speech of Kamala Harris on the National Mall in Washington, DC [Hannah McKay/Reuters]
    People gather prior to Democratic presidential nominee U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris' speech on the National Mall in Washington
    [Hannah McKay/Reuters]
    People gather prior to Democratic presidential nominee U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris' speech on the National Mall in Washington
    [Hannah McKay/Reuters]
  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 18:30
     (18:30 GMT)

    What happened on January 6, 2021?

    Shattered glass, clashes with police, protesters scaling walls: The images from the US Capitol riot on January 6, 2021 remain some of the most memorable in modern US political history.

    That day saw thousands of supporters of then-President Donald Trump storm the building in an effort to overturn his election defeat, forcing legislators to flee for safety.

    According to US lawmakers who investigated the riot, Trump watched what was happening on television and ignored calls from his staff and family members who “begged him” to intervene.

    A recent criminal case filing also said that Trump – when told by an aide that his Vice President Mike Pence’s safety was at risk – replied: “So what?”

    Trump has denied any wrongdoing and described January 6 as “a day of love”.

  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 18:20
     (18:20 GMT)

    Kamala Harris’s arguably biggest campaign speech

    By John Hendren

    Reporting from Washington, DC

    The Democratic candidate is going behind the White House to the Ellipse; that’s where Donald Trump spoke on January 6, 2021 before that crowd stormed the US Capitol and broke into it.

    So there will be an implicit link between Harris, as what her campaign wants to present this image of stability, and Trump at that same spot years ago.

    She is going to talk about her biography, she’s going to talk about economics and she will make her case for trying to bring down prices because that’s something that Americans are very concerned about, – even though inflation has gone down considerably over the past four years, people still feel a sense that it’s still cumulatively very high

    And she is also going to make that point about Donald Trump being at that spot in 2021 rousing that crowd and to make the point that in her view, it is irresponsible to bring him back, that he will be a danger.

    Harris will likely remind people the two four-star generals who worked for Trump have called him a “fascist” and it probably doesn’t hurt her that a couple of days ago at a Trump rally there was a comedian who called Puerto Rico “a floating island of garbage” in the middle of the Atlantic.

    She is going to continue making her positive case, balancing that also with attacks on Trump, who has largely gone negative and is trying to bring her numbers down.

    We’re down to the last few days and in those seven swing states they are all within the margin of error in polls, so it’s a very close race and they’re both trying to make their case.

    Fencing surrounds Ellipse perimeter ahead of expected appearance by Democratic presidential nominee U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris, in Washington
    Construction workers around the perimeter of the Ellipse where Harris is expected to speak later tonight [Kaylee Greenlee Beal/Reuters]
  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 18:10
     (18:10 GMT)

    Bad Bunny releases tribute video to Puerto Rico as Trump rally controversy simmers

    The rapper, singer and producer has posted an eight-minute video to his Instagram account captioned: “garbage”.

    The caption is an obvious reference to comedian Tony Hinchcliffe’s widely criticised joke at Sunday’s New York City Trump rally, in which he called Puerto Rico an “island of garbage”.

    Prominent Puerto Ricans across the US have spoken out against Hinchcliffe’s comments, which Trump has not apologised for, merely saying instead that he does not know Hinchcliffe.

    Though residents of Puerto Rico cannot vote in the US election, groups of Puerto Ricans live in Latino communities across the seven key battleground states, and could influence the vote.

    View this post on Instagram

    A post shared by Benito (@badbunnypr)

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  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 18:05
     (18:05 GMT)
    Opinion

    ‘No, US voters, you don’t need to choose between Harris and Trump’: Opinion piece

    By Andrew Mitrovica

    The world, we are told, is on the eve of witnessing the most consequential US presidential election since witnessing the last most consequential US presidential election.

    The hyperbole has a familiar ring because the so-called “stakes” have a familiar ring.

    Anyone with even a passing understanding of American history knows that presidential elections have always been cast as a binary choice between the past and future, prosperity and decay, peace and war, and, lately, democracy and authoritarianism.

    The myth that girds these “choices” is that American voters have a choice at all; that the two dominant political parties are, save the glib edges, ideological adversaries when, on, say, urgent matters of war and peace, they remain steadfast soulmates to the core.

    The billionaire oligarchs who run the whole decrepit show in America know that “democracy” is a sweet illusion meant to convince the gullible that party 1 is different from party 1a.

    This is my advice to the Arab and Muslim American voters in crucial bellwether states like Michigan: Do not listen to craven politicians and journalists who, in lockstep with the leaders of party 1 and party 1a, have granted Israel the uncontested licence to kill as many Palestinians as it wants to, for as long it wants to, for whatever reason it wants to.

    Read more of this opinion piece here.

  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 18:00
     (18:00 GMT)

    President George W Bush’s daughter Barbara endorses Harris

    Barbara Pierce Bush, the daughter and granddaughter of former Republican Presidents George W Bush and George H.W. Bush, has endorsed Kamala Harris, a Democrat.

    Bush spent part of her weekend in Pennsylvania campaigning for the vice president, the US magazine People reported. She cited Harris’s support for reproductive rights as a reason to vote for her.

    “It was inspiring to join friends and meet voters with the Harris-Walz campaign in Pennsylvania this weekend,” the 42-year-old said. “I’m hopeful they’ll move our country forward and protect women’s rights.”

    Bush had previously supported Planned Parenthood. Her mother, former First Lady Laura Bush, had also broken with the Republican Party’s stance by saying she supports same-sex marriage and abortion.

  • live-orange
    29 Oct 2024 - 17:50
     (17:50 GMT)

    ‘We are on track to win a very close election’: Harris campaign chair

    Jen O’Malley Dillon has released a video aiming to convince supporters that they “don’t have to feel anxious” but “can feel good” about the elections.

    O’Malley Dillon argued Harris has “multiple pathways” to get to the 270 Electoral votes needed to win the presidential race, saying that seven states remain in play: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada.

    Harris’s campaign chair said early voting returns in key states suggested the Democratic candidate’s supporters are  turning out in numbers she needs to win. She added many Republican-leaning voters were voting early in strong numbers as well – but those tended to be people who would have otherwise voted on Election Day.

    By contrast, she said, the Harris campaign believes low-propensity voters are breaking for the Democrat

    O’Malley Dillion said the campaign’s polling shows that late-breaking undecided voters “are more open to supporting” Harris if they find out “more information” about her in the campaign’s closing days.

    “It’s OK to be worried,” before Election Day, she said, but added: “We are on track to win a very close election.”

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